Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Shore leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 56.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Shore
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Shore
Dowd
Last 10: Shore 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
6
2
Shore
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Shore
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
52.4% (6,009)
-4.8%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
56.1% (164)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
44.1% (1,635)
+3.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Shore is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Shore shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Shore
Dowd
Home
46.7% (852)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
47.9% (758)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Shore
Dowd
P1
46.4%
51.7%
P2
47.6%
50.4%
P3
47.6%
50.3%
OT
75.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |