Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shore wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 83.0%
Defensive zone
Shore 77.9%
Neutral zone
Shore 76.8%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Shore
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Shore
Stastny
Last 10: Shore 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Shore
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Shore
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Shore
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
54.6% (10,616)
-7.0%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
59.1% (1,994)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Shore is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Shore shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Shore
Stastny
Home
46.7% (852)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.9% (758)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Shore
Stastny
P1
46.4%
56.3%
P2
47.6%
55.4%
P3
47.6%
53.5%
OT
75.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |