Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Shore wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 44.0% vs Stastny 54.2% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 50.5%
Defensive zone
Shore 50.4%
Neutral zone
Shore 51.8%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Shore
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Shore
Stastny
Last 7: Shore 3-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Shore
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
3
2
Shore
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (170)
52.8% (657)
-12.8%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
61.0% (118)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
61.1% (72)
-14.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Shore is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Shore shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Shore
Stastny
Home
38.0% (121)
53.0% (464)
Away
45.5% (88)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Shore
Stastny
P1
47.9%
47.9%
P2
33.8%
59.6%
P3
40.6%
54.9%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
41.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Devin Shore |