Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Shore wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 44.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 59.5%
Defensive zone
Shore 60.5%
Neutral zone
Shore 58.1%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Shore
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shore
Johansen
Last 6: Shore 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Shore
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Shore
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (170)
54.7% (1,149)
-14.7%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
49.7% (191)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.9% (121)
-1.2%
On even strength, Johansen has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Shore is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Shore shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Shore
Johansen
Home
38.0% (121)
52.5% (739)
Away
45.5% (88)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Shore
Johansen
P1
47.9%
53.8%
P2
33.8%
55.8%
P3
40.6%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
41.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |