Scouting Report
Dillon Dube holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dube on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dube wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.4% vs Strome 44.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dube 54.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 60.3%
Neutral zone
Dube 51.3%
Result
Dillon Dube favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Dube
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dube
Strome
Last 6: Dube 3-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dube
2
1
Dube
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dube
1
0
Dube
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Dube
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (320)
44.1% (6,839)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
49.3% (854)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
41.5% (410)
+1.9%
On power play, Dube has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dube is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Dube shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Dube
Strome
Home
47.8% (186)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
45.8% (216)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Dube
Strome
P1
44.5%
44.0%
P2
44.7%
45.3%
P3
53.6%
44.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Dillon Dube |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |