Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for James on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
James 50.3% vs Staal 54.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
James
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
James
Staal
Last 9: James 7-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
James
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: James
5
0
James
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: James
1
0
James
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
James
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (270)
56.2% (939)
-6.6%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
66.9% (139)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.5% (239)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, James has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
James shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
James
Staal
Home
47.4% (156)
55.4% (663)
Away
54.2% (120)
54.7% (654)
By Period
James
Staal
P1
47.4%
54.9%
P2
53.3%
55.1%
P3
50.0%
54.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Dominic James |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Dominic James |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Dominic James |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Dominic James |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Dominic James |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Dominic James |