Scouting Report
Dominic James holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
James 50.3% vs McTavish 49.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 60.7%
Defensive zone
James 52.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
James
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
James
McTavish
Last 6: James 2-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
James
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
James
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
James
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
James
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (270)
47.6% (616)
+2.0%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
57.8% (102)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, James has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
James shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
James
McTavish
Home
47.4% (156)
52.2% (389)
Away
54.2% (120)
45.1% (335)
By Period
James
McTavish
P1
47.4%
50.0%
P2
53.3%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Dominic James |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |