Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Moore 54.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 52.6%
Defensive zone
Moore 87.8%
Neutral zone
Moore 83.4%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Horvat
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Horvat
Moore
Last 9: Horvat 7-2 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Moore
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Horvat
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Moore
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
55.1% (813)
-3.0%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
85.7% (7)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
51.6% (254)
-6.7%
On power play, Moore has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Moore is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
Horvat
Moore
Home
53.1% (420)
55.5% (503)
Away
49.8% (428)
53.6% (571)
By Period
Horvat
Moore
P1
52.4%
51.3%
P2
49.3%
53.9%
P3
52.8%
57.7%
OT
42.9%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |