Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.2% vs Moore 54.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.8%
Defensive zone
Moore 72.5%
Neutral zone
Moore 50.2%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
O'Reilly
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
O'Reilly
Moore
Last 7: O'Reilly 3-4 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
2
O'Reilly
Moore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Moore
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
O'Reilly
Moore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (98)
58.9% (618)
-5.8%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
50.0% (10)
+13.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (65).
O'Reilly shoots left. Moore is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Moore
Home
56.0% (84)
57.1% (394)
Away
48.0% (25)
53.7% (467)
By Period
O'Reilly
Moore
P1
47.4%
53.5%
P2
60.6%
57.6%
P3
55.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
54.1%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |