Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Dowell 48.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 80.5%
Defensive zone
Moore 66.4%
Neutral zone
Dowell 59.7%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Moore
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Moore
Dowell
Last 9: Moore 4-5 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Dowell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
1
Moore
Dowell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
4
Moore
Dowell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
49.1% (759)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
38.5% (13)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
46.9% (81)
+1.8%
On power play, Moore has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Moore
Dowell
Home
55.3% (2,409)
51.8% (413)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
45.8% (443)
By Period
Moore
Dowell
P1
53.7%
50.4%
P2
54.2%
46.6%
P3
55.3%
49.7%
OT
69.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |