Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Dowell 48.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 56.7%
Defensive zone
Moore 77.4%
Neutral zone
Moore 58.6%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Moore
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Moore
Dowell
Last 7: Moore 4-3 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Dowell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
1
Moore
Dowell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
2
Moore
Dowell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (625)
46.1% (180)
+8.0%
Power Play
62.9% (35)
100.0% (1)
-37.1%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (97)
62.5% (16)
-4.8%
On power play, Dowell has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Moore is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Moore shoots left. Dowell is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Moore
Dowell
Home
55.0% (309)
49.5% (107)
Away
55.0% (453)
45.6% (90)
By Period
Moore
Dowell
P1
53.6%
52.3%
P2
56.7%
44.3%
P3
54.0%
46.8%
Final 5 min
62.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.0%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |