Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.2%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Pavelski 54.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 78.8%
Defensive zone
Moore 70.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Moore
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Moore
Pavelski
Last 10: Moore 2-8 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
8
Moore
Pavelski
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
4
2
Moore
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
53.6% (8,791)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
58.2% (2,122)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
50.9% (1,138)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Moore is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,888).
Moore shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Moore
Pavelski
Home
55.3% (2,409)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Moore
Pavelski
P1
53.7%
53.5%
P2
54.2%
55.2%
P3
55.3%
53.9%
OT
69.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |