Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.0%). Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.7% vs Pavelski 54.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 85.2%
Defensive zone
Moore 82.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.3%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Moore
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Moore
Pavelski
Last 6: Moore 1-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Moore
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Moore
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Moore
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (618)
53.6% (657)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.2% (221)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
51.7% (60)
-5.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Moore is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Moore shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Moore
Pavelski
Home
57.1% (394)
57.4% (470)
Away
53.7% (467)
52.6% (468)
By Period
Moore
Pavelski
P1
53.5%
53.4%
P2
57.6%
55.6%
P3
54.7%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |