Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Thornton 54.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Moore leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 76.6%
Defensive zone
Moore 87.1%
Neutral zone
Moore 57.4%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Moore
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Moore
Thornton
Last 10: Moore 7-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
4
0
Moore
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
3
2
Moore
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
53.5% (6,640)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
57.2% (1,387)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
56.7% (427)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Moore
Thornton
Home
55.3% (2,409)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Moore
Thornton
P1
53.7%
55.0%
P2
54.2%
53.3%
P3
55.3%
54.4%
OT
69.4%
56.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |