Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.1% vs Thornton 57.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 83.5%
Defensive zone
Moore 72.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.7%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Moore
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Moore
Thornton
Last 6: Moore 4-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
0
Moore
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Moore
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (813)
58.7% (722)
-3.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
58.5% (147)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (254)
51.2% (86)
+0.4%
On power play, Moore has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Moore is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Moore shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Moore
Thornton
Home
55.5% (503)
60.1% (496)
Away
53.6% (571)
55.8% (459)
By Period
Moore
Thornton
P1
51.3%
60.4%
P2
53.9%
54.7%
P3
57.7%
58.2%
OT
63.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |