Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.1% vs Larsson 45.4% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 92.0%
Defensive zone
Moore 59.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 72.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Moore
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Moore
Larsson
Last 9: Moore 3-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Moore
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
Moore
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (813)
45.2% (290)
+9.9%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
38.6% (44)
+47.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (254)
28.6% (7)
+23.0%
On power play, Moore has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Moore is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Moore shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Moore
Larsson
Home
55.5% (503)
45.1% (153)
Away
53.6% (571)
43.1% (188)
By Period
Moore
Larsson
P1
51.3%
45.3%
P2
53.9%
41.4%
P3
57.7%
44.0%
OT
63.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |