Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 53.4% vs Tavares 52.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.3%
Defensive zone
Moore 71.9%
Neutral zone
Moore 64.2%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Moore
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Moore
Tavares
Last 6: Moore 4-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Moore
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
1
Moore
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (306)
52.9% (1,239)
+1.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.7% (309)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (51)
50.0% (178)
+1.0%
On power play, Moore has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Moore is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Moore shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Moore
Tavares
Home
51.1% (190)
55.0% (864)
Away
57.9% (171)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Moore
Tavares
P1
51.9%
51.8%
P2
53.4%
51.4%
P3
58.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |