Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Bailey 45.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 91.3%
Defensive zone
Bailey 56.8%
Neutral zone
Bailey 73.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Moore
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Moore
Bailey
Last 10: Moore 3-7 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
4
Moore
Bailey
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Moore
Bailey
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Moore
Bailey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
45.8% (1,991)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
48.1% (295)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
39.9% (281)
+8.8%
On even strength, Moore has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Moore
Bailey
Home
55.3% (2,409)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Moore
Bailey
P1
53.7%
46.5%
P2
54.2%
44.8%
P3
55.3%
44.4%
OT
69.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 22, 2010 | OT | 01:59 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |