Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.8%). Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.0% vs Koivu 54.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 75.3%
Defensive zone
Moore 85.3%
Neutral zone
Moore 59.9%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Moore
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Moore
Koivu
Last 8: Moore 8-0 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
0
Moore
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
4
0
Moore
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (561)
54.0% (948)
+2.5%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
58.7% (225)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (79)
54.3% (138)
-11.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Moore is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Moore shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Moore
Koivu
Home
57.1% (273)
59.8% (669)
Away
52.8% (375)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Moore
Koivu
P1
55.7%
53.4%
P2
52.6%
56.2%
P3
55.1%
56.3%
OT
100.0%
36.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |