Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Dowd 50.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 79.3%
Defensive zone
Moore 51.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 74.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Moore
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Moore
Dowd
Last 10: Moore 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Moore
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
1
Moore
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Moore
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
52.6% (5,850)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
56.1% (164)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
43.9% (1,600)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Moore is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,888).
Moore shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,015).
Home / Away
Moore
Dowd
Home
55.3% (2,409)
52.1% (3,753)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
49.6% (3,862)
By Period
Moore
Dowd
P1
53.7%
51.9%
P2
54.2%
50.7%
P3
55.3%
50.1%
OT
69.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |