Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.7% vs Bonino 50.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 92.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 78.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
Moore
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Moore
Bonino
Last 6: Moore 1-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Moore
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Moore
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (618)
50.2% (691)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
61.5% (78)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
45.6% (149)
+0.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Moore is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Moore shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Moore
Bonino
Home
57.1% (394)
52.7% (467)
Away
53.7% (467)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Moore
Bonino
P1
53.5%
48.9%
P2
57.6%
50.2%
P3
54.7%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |