Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.7% vs Berglund 50.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 62.8%
Defensive zone
Moore 82.4%
Neutral zone
Moore 65.0%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Moore
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Moore
Berglund
Last 5: Moore 3-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Moore
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (618)
50.4% (240)
+8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
54.2% (24)
-8.3%
On power play, Moore has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Moore is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Moore shoots left. Berglund is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Moore
Berglund
Home
57.1% (394)
51.8% (114)
Away
53.7% (467)
49.1% (163)
By Period
Moore
Berglund
P1
53.5%
48.4%
P2
57.6%
50.6%
P3
54.7%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |