Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.1%). Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Moore leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 82.7%
Defensive zone
Moore 73.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Moore
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Moore
Stastny
Last 10: Moore 8-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
6
Moore
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
8
3
Moore
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Moore
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
54.6% (10,616)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Moore
Stastny
Home
55.3% (2,409)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Moore
Stastny
P1
53.7%
56.3%
P2
54.2%
55.4%
P3
55.3%
53.5%
OT
69.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | OT | 01:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |