Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Carter 49.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 55.6%
Defensive zone
Moore 73.3%
Neutral zone
Moore 62.9%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Moore
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Moore
Carter
Last 5: Moore 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Moore
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
2
1
Moore
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (625)
49.7% (390)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.9% (35)
57.1% (7)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (97)
48.5% (33)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Moore is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Moore shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Moore
Carter
Home
55.0% (309)
51.5% (171)
Away
55.0% (453)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Moore
Carter
P1
53.6%
50.7%
P2
56.7%
48.4%
P3
54.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
62.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.0%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |