Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Johnson 60.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 69.8%
Defensive zone
Moore 75.1%
Neutral zone
Moore 65.8%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Moore
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Moore
Johnson
Last 7: Moore 1-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Moore
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Moore
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
63.8% (260)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
50.0% (4)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
63.0% (46)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Moore
Johnson
Home
55.3% (2,409)
69.8% (126)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Moore
Johnson
P1
53.7%
63.0%
P2
54.2%
61.8%
P3
55.3%
66.0%
OT
69.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 11:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |