Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.7% vs Kesler 58.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 61.1%
Defensive zone
Moore 74.1%
Neutral zone
Moore 61.2%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Moore
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Moore
Kesler
Last 8: Moore 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Moore
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
1
Moore
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Moore
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (618)
58.6% (1,138)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
64.5% (186)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
55.0% (351)
-9.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Moore is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Moore shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Moore
Kesler
Home
57.1% (394)
61.0% (859)
Away
53.7% (467)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Moore
Kesler
P1
53.5%
59.1%
P2
57.6%
56.5%
P3
54.7%
60.5%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |