Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.0% vs Smyth 50.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 66.1%
Defensive zone
Moore 83.2%
Neutral zone
Moore 66.5%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Moore
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Moore
Smyth
Last 5: Moore 3-2 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Moore
Smyth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Smyth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
2
1
Moore
Smyth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (561)
49.7% (145)
+6.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
58.1% (31)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (79)
16.7% (6)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Moore is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Moore shoots left. Smyth is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Moore
Smyth
Home
57.1% (273)
60.2% (103)
Away
52.8% (375)
36.7% (79)
By Period
Moore
Smyth
P1
55.7%
51.7%
P2
52.6%
44.6%
P3
55.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.6%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |