Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Moore wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Matthias 49.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 79.7%
Defensive zone
Matthias 77.8%
Neutral zone
Matthias 75.3%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Moore
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Moore
Matthias
Last 8: Moore 2-6 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Moore
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
5
Moore
Matthias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (625)
49.4% (510)
+4.7%
Power Play
62.9% (35)
55.3% (38)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (97)
46.5% (43)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Moore is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Moore shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Moore
Matthias
Home
55.0% (309)
47.6% (315)
Away
55.0% (453)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Moore
Matthias
P1
53.6%
50.0%
P2
56.7%
51.9%
P3
54.0%
45.8%
OT
77.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
62.0%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.0%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |