Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Nieves wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Toninato 45.4% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 54.6%
Defensive zone
Toninato 51.4%
Neutral zone
Toninato 51.2%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Nieves
Toninato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
45.9% (778)
-2.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
47.6% (21)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
26.7% (45)
-12.4%
On power play, Nieves has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Nieves is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Nieves shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Nieves
Toninato
Home
48.3% (230)
47.0% (413)
Away
37.1% (245)
42.9% (431)
By Period
Nieves
Toninato
P1
41.1%
40.8%
P2
44.6%
46.3%
P3
41.4%
47.5%
Final 5 min
41.3%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%