Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Toninato wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.5% vs Cullen 50.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toninato 73.2%
Defensive zone
Toninato 71.5%
Neutral zone
Toninato 72.9%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Toninato
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Toninato
Cullen
Last 10: Toninato 3-7 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
2
1
Toninato
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
6
Toninato
Cullen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (182)
50.1% (637)
-6.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
50.0% (8)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
53.3% (60)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Toninato is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Toninato shoots left. Cullen is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Toninato
Cullen
Home
47.3% (91)
50.5% (400)
Away
37.0% (108)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Toninato
Cullen
P1
38.0%
49.8%
P2
37.3%
48.8%
P3
49.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
41.7%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |