Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toninato wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.5% vs Fisher 55.3% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 79.6%
Defensive zone
Toninato 81.7%
Neutral zone
Toninato 78.7%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Toninato
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Toninato
Fisher
Last 6: Toninato 1-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Toninato
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
2
Toninato
Fisher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Toninato
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (182)
58.2% (158)
-14.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
56.0% (25)
-40.6%
On power play, Fisher has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Toninato is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Toninato shoots left. Fisher is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Toninato
Fisher
Home
47.3% (91)
52.8% (89)
Away
37.0% (108)
63.2% (95)
By Period
Toninato
Fisher
P1
38.0%
44.3%
P2
37.3%
64.2%
P3
49.3%
65.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
68.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
41.7%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |