Dominic Toninato vs Mitchell Stephens
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 47.8% vs Stephens 52.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 55.4%
Defensive zone
Stephens 78.7%
Neutral zone
Stephens 61.7%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Toninato
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Toninato
Stephens
Last 6: Toninato 4-2 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Stephens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
2
0
Toninato
Stephens
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (251)
54.4% (296)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
46.2% (52)
-9.8%
On power play, Toninato has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Toninato is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Toninato shoots left. Stephens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Toninato
Stephens
Home
45.1% (122)
54.8% (177)
Away
48.7% (150)
50.3% (179)
By Period
Toninato
Stephens
P1
40.5%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
50.4%
P3
50.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.1%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |