Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toninato wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.5% vs Faksa 51.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 67.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 66.4%
Neutral zone
Toninato 53.5%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Toninato
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Toninato
Faksa
Last 9: Toninato 4-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
2
1
Toninato
Faksa
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Toninato
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
3
Toninato
Faksa
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (182)
52.1% (893)
-8.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
50.0% (34)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
49.3% (150)
-33.9%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Toninato is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Toninato shoots left. Faksa is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Toninato
Faksa
Home
47.3% (91)
52.6% (548)
Away
37.0% (108)
50.7% (529)
By Period
Toninato
Faksa
P1
38.0%
51.5%
P2
37.3%
53.4%
P3
49.3%
50.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
41.7%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |