Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 47.8% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 56.6%
Defensive zone
Toninato 51.2%
Neutral zone
Toninato 58.0%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Toninato
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Toninato
Getzlaf
Last 7: Toninato 3-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Toninato
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (251)
51.6% (812)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.3% (94)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.2% (126)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Toninato is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Toninato shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Toninato
Getzlaf
Home
45.1% (122)
52.5% (531)
Away
48.7% (150)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Toninato
Getzlaf
P1
40.5%
47.8%
P2
50.0%
54.6%
P3
50.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |