Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turgeon 47.9% vs Larsson 50.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turgeon 86.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Turgeon 58.1%
Result
Dominic Turgeon favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Turgeon
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Turgeon
Larsson
Last 6: Turgeon 1-5 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Turgeon
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
Turgeon
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turgeon
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turgeon
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (21)
53.8% (773)
-15.7%
On even strength, Larsson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Turgeon is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Turgeon shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Turgeon
Larsson
Home
37.5% (16)
51.2% (490)
Away
40.0% (5)
50.1% (503)
By Period
Turgeon
Larsson
P1
0.0%
50.6%
P2
50.0%
53.1%
P3
55.6%
48.3%
Final 5 min
66.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turgeon
35.7%▬
35.7%
38.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Dominic Turgeon |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |