Christian Dvorak vs Drake Caggiula
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Caggiula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs Caggiula 43.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 70.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 70.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 71.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Dvorak
Caggiula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Caggiula
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Caggiula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
0
1
Dvorak
Caggiula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Caggiula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Caggiula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Caggiula
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
40.6% (276)
+6.3%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
66.7% (6)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
50.0% (2)
-9.5%
On power play, Caggiula has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Caggiula shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Caggiula
Home
47.5% (526)
46.9% (145)
Away
46.0% (480)
35.3% (139)
By Period
Dvorak
Caggiula
P1
48.0%
41.1%
P2
46.3%
40.2%
P3
46.2%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |