Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Staal 50.6% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 63.8%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 56.7%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 61.9%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Caggiula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Caggiula
Staal
Last 6: Caggiula 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Caggiula
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Caggiula
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
2
0
Caggiula
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
50.5% (10,347)
-12.6%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
53.5% (2,023)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
44.2% (781)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Staal
Home
41.9% (217)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
32.7% (196)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Caggiula
Staal
P1
37.7%
50.0%
P2
37.7%
51.1%
P3
37.3%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Eric Staal |