Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Staal 49.2% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 53.6%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 54.4%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 52.6%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Caggiula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Caggiula
Staal
Last 5: Caggiula 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Caggiula
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Caggiula
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
2
0
Caggiula
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
48.9% (958)
-8.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
51.7% (145)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.9% (71)
+2.1%
On power play, Caggiula has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Caggiula shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Staal
Home
46.9% (145)
49.6% (550)
Away
35.3% (139)
48.7% (624)
By Period
Caggiula
Staal
P1
41.1%
48.9%
P2
40.2%
47.5%
P3
43.0%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Eric Staal |