Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Caggiula wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Haula 53.4% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Caggiula 61.7%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 57.9%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 59.9%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Caggiula
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Caggiula
Haula
Last 10: Caggiula 4-6 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
2
1
Caggiula
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Caggiula
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
4
Caggiula
Haula
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
55.0% (684)
-14.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
52.9% (17)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.8% (49)
+11.2%
On even strength, Haula has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Caggiula shoots left. Haula is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Haula
Home
46.9% (145)
55.2% (355)
Away
35.3% (139)
52.7% (395)
By Period
Caggiula
Haula
P1
41.1%
53.2%
P2
40.2%
54.7%
P3
43.0%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |