Drake Caggiula vs Evgeni Malkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Malkin 45.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 76.5%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 84.3%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 75.5%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Caggiula
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Caggiula
Malkin
Last 7: Caggiula 1-6 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Caggiula
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Caggiula
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
4
Caggiula
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
45.6% (10,081)
-7.7%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.1% (668)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
32.2% (59)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Malkin
Home
41.9% (217)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
32.7% (196)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Caggiula
Malkin
P1
37.7%
45.9%
P2
37.7%
46.2%
P3
37.3%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |