Scouting Report
Drake Caggiula holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bouma shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Bouma 39.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 54.1%
Defensive zone
Bouma 52.3%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 53.0%
Result
Lance Bouma favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Caggiula
Bouma
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Caggiula
Bouma
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
1
0
Caggiula
Bouma
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Bouma
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
38.0% (205)
-0.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
25.0% (4)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
18.2% (33)
+0.0%
On power play, Caggiula has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bouma shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Bouma is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Bouma
Home
41.9% (217)
37.4% (139)
Away
32.7% (196)
32.0% (103)
By Period
Caggiula
Bouma
P1
37.7%
39.8%
P2
37.7%
32.2%
P3
37.3%
32.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |