Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.5% vs 37.4%). Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Brown 39.6% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Brown 52.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 53.9%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.8%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Caggiula
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
37.4% (457)
+0.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
39.4% (33)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
25.0% (4)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Brown
Home
41.9% (217)
39.7% (239)
Away
32.7% (196)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Caggiula
Brown
P1
37.7%
39.8%
P2
37.7%
33.7%
P3
37.3%
38.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%