Drake Caggiula vs Mikael Backlund
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Caggiula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Caggiula wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Backlund 48.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 59.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 76.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Caggiula
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Caggiula
Backlund
Last 6: Caggiula 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
1
0
Caggiula
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Caggiula
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
2
1
Caggiula
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
47.3% (1,070)
-6.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
62.1% (140)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.9% (269)
+6.1%
On even strength, Backlund has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Caggiula shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Backlund
Home
46.9% (145)
49.1% (768)
Away
35.3% (139)
47.0% (711)
By Period
Caggiula
Backlund
P1
41.1%
46.8%
P2
40.2%
47.5%
P3
43.0%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
59.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |