Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Caggiula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Caggiula wins 38.2% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Fisher 51.5% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 79.5%
Defensive zone
Fisher 91.1%
Neutral zone
Fisher 85.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Caggiula
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Caggiula
Fisher
Last 6: Caggiula 4-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
1
0
Caggiula
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Caggiula
Fisher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
3
1
Caggiula
Fisher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
51.4% (6,100)
-13.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
53.8% (1,126)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
48.8% (781)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Caggiula is 38.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Caggiula shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Fisher
Home
41.9% (217)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
32.7% (196)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Caggiula
Fisher
P1
37.7%
49.6%
P2
37.7%
52.8%
P3
37.3%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |