Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Caggiula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Caggiula wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Fisher 54.6% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 74.1%
Defensive zone
Fisher 88.5%
Neutral zone
Fisher 80.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 81.0%
19.0%
81.0%
Caggiula
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Caggiula
Fisher
Last 6: Caggiula 4-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
1
0
Caggiula
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Caggiula
Fisher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
3
1
Caggiula
Fisher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
55.0% (908)
-14.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
59.8% (189)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.7% (183)
+0.3%
On even strength, Fisher has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Caggiula is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Caggiula shoots left. Fisher is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Fisher
Home
46.9% (145)
54.3% (661)
Away
35.3% (139)
55.6% (619)
By Period
Caggiula
Fisher
P1
41.1%
50.1%
P2
40.2%
57.7%
P3
43.0%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |