Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Caggiula wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Holland 46.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 54.7%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 54.0%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 53.0%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Caggiula
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Caggiula
Holland
Last 6: Caggiula 2-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
2
0
Caggiula
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
3
Caggiula
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Caggiula
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
45.0% (462)
-4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
52.9% (34)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Caggiula has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Caggiula shoots left. Holland is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Holland
Home
46.9% (145)
50.8% (240)
Away
35.3% (139)
40.5% (262)
By Period
Caggiula
Holland
P1
41.1%
44.9%
P2
40.2%
46.0%
P3
43.0%
45.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |