Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 38.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 59.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 54.7%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 53.4%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Last 5: Caggiula 2-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Caggiula
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
2
0
Caggiula
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Caggiula
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
49.6% (10,258)
-11.7%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
54.9% (1,381)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
44.8% (1,055)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Caggiula is 38.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Caggiula shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Home
41.9% (217)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
32.7% (196)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Caggiula
Getzlaf
P1
37.7%
49.2%
P2
37.7%
50.4%
P3
37.3%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |