Drake Caggiula vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 53.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
44.9% (8,756)
-7.0%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.7% (839)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
37.9% (879)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
41.9% (217)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
32.7% (196)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
37.7%
45.1%
P2
37.7%
43.9%
P3
37.3%
45.3%
OT
0.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
40.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%