Drake Caggiula vs Sergey Kalinin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sergey Kalinin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Caggiula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Kalinin 43.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 50.1%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 77.6%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 66.8%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Caggiula
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Caggiula
Kalinin
Last 6: Caggiula 4-2 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Caggiula
Kalinin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
0
1
Caggiula
Kalinin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
3
0
Caggiula
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
41.9% (453)
-4.0%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
33.3% (18)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
40.0% (25)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Kalinin has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Kalinin
Home
41.9% (217)
42.8% (285)
Away
32.7% (196)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Caggiula
Kalinin
P1
37.7%
43.8%
P2
37.7%
40.6%
P3
37.3%
40.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |