Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.3%). Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 46.6% vs Bailey 45.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 56.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 56.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 54.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Shore
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Shore
Bailey
Last 8: Shore 3-5 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Shore
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Shore
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Bailey
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (698)
45.8% (1,991)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
48.1% (295)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
39.9% (281)
+3.7%
On power play, Shore has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Shore is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Shore shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Shore
Bailey
Home
47.1% (376)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
45.3% (430)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Shore
Bailey
P1
46.1%
46.5%
P2
47.0%
44.8%
P3
45.2%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |